10 August 2010

Comparing CBO and White House Budget Forecasts

Did you ever wonder how well the White House's Office of Management and Budget and the Congressional Budget Office are at forecasting where the U.S. budget deficit will go?

Congressional Budget Office Deficit Projections for the President's Budget Proposals, FY2010 vs FY2011, July 2010 The reason we're asking that question today is because the OMB has once again estimated just how much in the red the Obama administration's spending will put the U.S. in 2010: 1.471 trillion U.S. dollars.

That's up considerably from the $1.3 trillion projected deficit the Obama administration had been forecasting for 2010 as recently as April 2010. But isn't as bad as the $1.6 trillion more than what they thought they would collect in taxes that they thought they would burn through back in January 2010.

Meanwhile, we see that the OMB's third figure on the year is almost right on target with the $1.5 trillion deficit the Congressional Budget Office projected just once, back in March 2010.

If only "Recovery Summer" went as the Obama administration's finest and most brilliant budgetary and economic minds predicted it would!