Political Calculations
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09 December 2025
U.S. Recession Probability Drops Below 20%
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The probability that the National Bureau of Economic Research will someday determine a national recession began in the U.S. between De...
08 December 2025
S&P 500 Investors Waiting on Fed to Deliver Expected Rate Cut
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The S&P 500 (Index: SPX ) closed out the first week of December 2025 at 6,870.40 , up 0.3% from where it closed the previous week...
05 December 2025
U.S. Total Nonfarm Employment in November 2025
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According to Revelio Labs' public labor statistics data , seasonally adjusted total nonfarm employment in the U.S. fell by in Nove...
04 December 2025
The Mystery of m
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The dividend futures-based model we invented to project the potential future trajectories the S&P 500 (Index: SPX ) starts from a ve...
03 December 2025
How Big is the AI Bubble and Is It Really a Bubble?
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A little over three years ago, Artificial Intelligence (AI) technology took off in the public consciousness with OpenAI's public r...
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