September 4, 2018

New Record Highs for S&P 500 in Final Week of August 2018

The S&P 500 (Index: SPX) continued setting new highs during the fifth and final week of August 2018, with its highest closing value to date set at 2,914.04 on Wednesday, 29 August 2018. The index went on to finish the week slightly lower at 2,901.52.

Alternative Futures - S&P 500 - 2018Q3 - Standard Model with Redzone Forecast for 2019Q1 Focus between 20180808 and 20180911 - Snapshot on 31 Aug 2018

The recent uptrend in stock prices has lifted the trajectory of the S&P 500 toward the upper end of our redzone forecast, which has just five trading days left to run. Overall, we think that investors are splitting their forward-looking focus between 2018-Q4 and 2019-Q1 in setting today's stock prices, which we think will continue in the absence of news that might more definitively focus their attention on one of these points of time in the future.

As for what news might be behind the market's recent upward momentum, here are the headlines that we weighted more heavily for their effect upon investor outlook in Week 5 of August 2018.

Monday, 27 August 2018
Tuesday, 28 August 2018
Wednesday, 29 August 2018
Thursday, 30 August 2018
Friday, 31 August 2018

Meanwhile, since that's not all of the news of the week that was, Barry Ritholtz identified more positives than negatives in the economy and markets news for the week ending August 2018.

Hope you all had a great Labor Day holiday weekend - it's time to buckle up for fall!