The U.S. new home market has largely recovered from the disruption of January 2026's blizzards.
Political Calculations' initial estimate of the total value of new home sales in the United States during February and March 2026 as measured by a time-shifted, partial twelve month trailing average is $28.45 billion and $28.24 billion respectively, which are both up from January 2026's first estimate of $27.37 billion.
Overall, the time-shifted, trailing twelve month average of new home sales in the U.S. is holding fairly steady. The annualized total number of new home sales has ranged between 671,000 and 684,000 since January 2024.
New home prices however have been on a rising trend since bottoming in September 2024. The time-shifted, trailing twelve month average sale price of a new home in the U.S. has risen from $502,525 in September 2024 to $522,950 in March 2026. The average remains below the peak of $529,692 recorded for June 2022 at the height of the high inflation unleashed by the Biden administration.
The following charts present the U.S. new home market capitalization, the number of new home sales, and their average sale prices as measured by their time-shifted, trailing twelve month averages from January 1976 through March 2026.
Steady trend for new home sales:
Rising trend for new home prices:
We'll take a separate look at the relative affordability of new homes in the near future.
References
U.S. Census Bureau. New Residential Sales Historical Data. Houses Sold. [Excel Spreadsheet]. Accessed 5 May 2026.
U.S. Census Bureau. New Residential Sales Historical Data. Median and Average Sale Price of Houses Sold. [Excel Spreadsheet]. Accessed 5 May 2026.
Image Credit: Wooden structure under construction photo by Nate Johnston on Unsplash.