26 April 2021

The S&P 500 Falls Back from Highs on Biden Capital Gains Tax Plan

In addition to rising prices, S&P 500 (Index: SPX) gained a new concern in the trading week ending on Friday, 23 April 2021 in the form of much higher capital gains tax rates.

Those prospects caused stock prices to fall sharply as the first details of the proposal were announced on Thursday, 22 April 2020. See if you can tell within 2-4 minutes of when the story broke and investors began absorbing that new information in a chart showing the index' trading value for the day:

Yahoo! Finance: S&P 500 Index Trading Value on 22 April 2021

If not for that news, the S&P 500 would almost certainly have closed the week at a new record high. As it was, the S&P 500 is trading within the lower end of the redzone forecast range on the alternative futures chart:

Alternative Futures - S&P 500 - 2021Q1 - Standard Model (m=+1.5 from 22 September 2020) - Snapshot on 23 Apr 2021

That's expected given the assumptions behind the redzone forecast range, which has just another couple of weeks to run.

Here's our summary of the market moving headlines for the week that was:

Monday, 19 April 2021
Tuesday, 20 April 2021
Wednesday, 21 April 2021
Thursday, 22 April 2021
Friday, 23 April 2021

What were the positives and negatives in the past week's markets and economics news? Click through to find Barry Ritholtz' take, where the positives outweighed the negatives!