Political Calculations
March 29, 2006

Christopher Wheeler has an interesting article (available as a 149KB PDF document) in the March/April 2006 edition of the of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis' Review, which looks at the growth in the numbers of the college-educated in major metropolitan areas.

Aside from finding that larger, more-educated metropolitican areas are experiencing a faster rate of increase in the number of the college-educated than smaller, less-educated metropolitan areas, Wheeler has also documented trends in what industries are accumulating workers with at least bachelor degrees from 1980 through 2000. The following table is taken from Wheeler's Table 4 "College Attainment by Major Industry", with only difference being that the decimal values Wheeler presented have been converted into percentages. I've also added a new column indicating the percentage change in the representation of the college-educated hired in each industry from 1980 to 2000.

Finally, the data below is presented in a dynamic table. You may sort the data from low to high or from high to low for each category listed just by clicking the column headings:

College Attainment by Major Industry
Percentage of Each Industry's Total Employment with a Bachelor's Degree or Higher
Industry 1980 1990 2000 Pct. Change 1980-2000
Agriculture, forestry, fisheries 15.4 16.0 15.4 +00.0
Mining 13.8 17.9 14.1 +00.3
Construction 7.2 9.4 8.9 +01.7
Nondurable manufacturing 11.2 15.3 19.6 +08.4
Durable manufacturing 11.1 15.8 18.3 +07.2
Transportation 9.0 12.3 14.4 +05.4
Communications 14.6 23.1 32.8 +18.2
Utilities 12.3 18.1 19.4 +07.1
Wholesale trade 15.2 19.9 21.2 +06.0
Retail trade 9.2 11.6 13.6 +04.4
Finance, insurance, real estate 22.7 30.6 36.4 +13.7
Business and repair services 20.0 25.5 33.0 +13.0
Private household services 3.3 5.2 6.8 +03.5
Personal services 6.7 10.5 12.0 +05.3
Entertainment and recreation services 19.4 22.6 25.9 +06.5
Medical services 21.9 28.9 33.0 +11.1
Educational services 54.6 55.0 56.2 +01.6
Social services 35.9 41.0 46.7 +10.8
Other professional services 46.7 53.0 53.7 +07.0
Public administration 25.2 29.8 35.2 +10.0
Note: Percentages of each industry's total employment with a bachelor's degree or higher.

Why the Changes?

The table above may only be telling part of the story with respect to where the large increases in the college educated in many of the industries listed are being derived. Here is what we suspect the driving factors behind the changes to be:

New hire screening: For the large increases in the college-degreed among many of the total industry populations to have occurred between 1980 and 2000, an even larger percentage of the population being hired into these industries must be coming in with college degrees. This would suggest that these industries have increased the amount of the screening they do of their respective new hire pools to prefer the college-educated.

Converting existing employees: A large volume of people already working in each industry may have pursued and earned college degrees in the time since their original hiring, thereby converting them from the numbers of the undegreed to the ranks of the college-educated captured in the table's data.

Outsourcing and competition: Given the changes in the U.S. economy over the years from 1980 to 2000, many jobs being done that did not require college degrees may have been transferred out of the United States, either directly by the businesses within the industries through outsourcing or indirectly by business failures in the various industries spurred by foreign-based competition.

The bottom line? If you're looking to get work in the U.S., that college degree is becoming more and more important.



<< Home
Unexpectedly Intriguing!

About Political Calculations



blog advertising
is good for you

Welcome to the blogosphere's toolchest! Here, unlike other blogs dedicated to analyzing current events, we create easy-to-use, simple tools to do the math related to them so you can get in on the action too! If you would like to learn more about these tools, or if you would like to contribute ideas to develop for this blog, please e-mail us at:

ironman at politicalcalculations.com

Thanks in advance!

Most Popular Posts

The S&P 500 at Your Fingertips

Mapping S&P 500 Performance, Since 1871

Should You Trade In Your Gas Guzzler?

What Are the Chances Your Marriage Will Last?

Reckoning the Odds of Recession

Your 2009 Paycheck

Tipping Around the World

Revisiting the Lottery

Estimating Your Life Expectancy

Connecting the Dots for Personal Income Taxes

Quick Index

First Time Visitor to Political Calculations?

On the Moneyed Midways

A Lot, But Not All, of Our Tools

Recession Probability Track

Recession Probability Track - 12 July 2005 through 10 July 2009

Political Calculations' Recession Probability Track shows the probability that the U.S. economy will be in recession 12 months from the indicated date (shown in red) while revealing the probability trend over the past four years.

Previously, the probability of recession peaked at 50% on 4 April 2007, which means that March-April 2008 was the most likely period in which the NBER would have found the U.S. to be in recession.

As it happens, they almost did. The NBER instead chose December 2007 as the beginning month of the most recent recession (we had found a 46% probability for a recession beginning in that month!)

On the Moneyed Midways

Political Calculations is also the online home of On the Moneyed Midways (aka OMM), a review of the best posts contributed to the week's best business and money-related blog carnivals. More than that, we also name one post in each edition as being The Best Post of the Week, Anywhere! and at the end of each year, we name The Best Post of the Year, Anywhere! as well as identifying the best blogs we found during the course of the year!

The link below will take you to the running index containing our most recent back issues (you can easily navigate the index to find older editions.)

OMM's Running Index for 2008

Recent Posts

Remapping the World

On the Moneyed Midways - March 24, 2006

Who Votes Is Who Matters

Even More Medical Notes

Union Membership Trends in the U.S. Private Sector...

On the Moneyed Midways - St. Patrick's Day 2006 Ed...

Profiling a Handful of AAR's Local Affiliates

A Bigger Footprint

Air America's Ratings in the Top 100 Radio Markets...

On The Moneyed Midways - March 10, 2006

Site Data

This site is primarily powered by:

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?

Visitors since December 6, 2004:

TTLB Ecosystem

CSS Validation

Valid CSS!

RSS Site Feed

AddThis Feed Button

JavaScript

The tools on this site are built using JavaScript. If you would like to learn more, one of the best free resources on the web is available at W3Schools.com.

Other Cool Resources

ZunZun - Exceptional regression analysis tool.
Wolfram Integrator - Solve integrals. Do calculus!
Create a Graph - Easy-to-use basic graph-making tool.
Many Eyes - Data visualization extraordinaire!


Archives
December 2004
January 2005
February 2005
March 2005
April 2005
May 2005
June 2005
July 2005
August 2005
September 2005
October 2005
November 2005
December 2005
January 2006
February 2006
March 2006
April 2006
May 2006
June 2006
July 2006
August 2006
September 2006
October 2006
November 2006
December 2006
January 2007
February 2007
March 2007
April 2007
May 2007
June 2007
July 2007
August 2007
September 2007
October 2007
November 2007
December 2007
January 2008
February 2008
March 2008
April 2008
May 2008
June 2008
July 2008
August 2008
September 2008
October 2008
November 2008
December 2008
January 2009
February 2009
March 2009
April 2009
May 2009
June 2009
July 2009

Pajamas Media BlogRoll Member
Belmont Club
Big Picture, The
Bloodhoundblog
Budgets Are Sexy
Cafe Hayek
Carpe Diem
Cheap, Healthy, Good
College Analysts
Copywriting Tips
Core77
Coyote Blog
Craig Harper
Digerati Life, The
Disciplined Approach to Investing
Dividend Guy, The
Division of Labour
Doug Short
Dough Roller, The
Eclectecon
Econlog
Economics Roundtable
EconomicsUK
Entrepreneurial Mind
Environmental Economics
Escape from Cubicle Nation
Execupundit
Fat Pitch Financials
Fortify Your Oasis
Gongol
Hot Air
Hugh Hewitt
Ideologic LLC
Instapundit
Intangible Economy
I've Paid Twice for This Already
Joanne Jacobs
Kaus Files
Little Green Footballs
Mahalanobis
Making Ripples
Market Power
Michelle Malkin
Mighty Bargain Hunter
Monevator
Money Blue Book
My Dollar Plan
New Economist
Newmark's Door
Nina Simosko
Physorg
Polipundit
Political Yin/Yang
Powerline
Private Sector Development
Radio Equalizer
Real Clear Politics
Roger L. Simon
SCSU Scholars
Skeptical Optimist
Small Business Buzz
Sound Politics
SOX First
Speculist, The
Sports Economist, The
squawkfox
The Truth Laid Bear
Three Star Leadership
Tim Worstall
Tough Money Love
Townhall
Trusted Advisor
voluntaryXchange
WILLisms
Winterspeak