Unexpectedly Intriguing!
July 2, 2018

We know that this next week will be a holiday week for U.S. markets, so we're just going to go straight to the charts this week to recap the fourth and final week of June 2018!

Alternative Futures - S&P 500 - 2018Q2 - Standard Model - Snapshot on 29 Jun 2018

Because we're at the end of 2018-Q2, it's also time to look ahead into the alternative futures of 2018-Q3....

Alternative Futures - S&P 500 - 2018Q3 - Standard Model - Snapshot on 29 Jun 2018

We've added a "redzone" forecast to our 2018-Q3 alternative futures spaghetti forecast chart, which we periodically do when the projected trajectories we indicate are skewed due to the past volatility of stock prices, which occurs because we incorporate historic stock prices as the base reference points from which we project the future in our forecasting model.

In this case, we've assumed that investors will remain largely focused on the distant future quarter of 2019-Q1 in setting current-day stock prices, where we think our model's projections will undershoot the actual trajectory that the S&P 500 will take. At least in the period from 28 June 2018 through 16 July 2018.

Let's get to the week's more notable market-moving headlines of Week 4 of June 2018.

Monday, 25 June 2018
Tuesday, 26 June 2018
Wednesday, 27 June 2018
Thursday, 28 June 2018
Friday, 29 June 2018

Meanwhile, Barry Ritholtz has summarized positives and negatives to be found in the economics and markets news for Week 4 of June 2018!

On a programming note, we're going to be "market-lite" this week, where we'll be featuring some more fun related items, particularly later in the week.

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