Unexpectedly Intriguing!
18 January 2022

If the S&P 500 (Index: SPX) were doing anything out of the ordinary, we'd be happy to report it. But following the Lévy flight event of the first week of January 2022, we can't say the index is behaving unexpected in any way.

That assessment is confirmed in the latest update to the alternative futures forecast chart, where we find the trajectory of the S&P 500 falls within the range we would expect for investors focusing on the current quarter of 2022-Q1.

Alternative Futures - S&P 500 - 2022Q1 - Standard Model (m=-2.5 from 16 June 2021) - Snapshot on 14 Jan 2022

The market-moving headlines we found in the newstream of the week that was point to a substantial effort by the Federal Reserve's minions to set expectations of multiple rate hikes in 2022, starting in March.

Monday, 10 January 2022
Tuesday, 11 January 2022
Wednesday, 12 January 2022
Thursday, 13 January 2022
Friday, 14 January 2022

Through 14 January 2022, the CME Group's FedWatch Tool projects at least four quarter point rate hikes in 2022. Generally each hike would take place in the month ending each quarter, but possibly earlier than that in the third quarter.

Labels: ,

About Political Calculations

Welcome to the blogosphere's toolchest! Here, unlike other blogs dedicated to analyzing current events, we create easy-to-use, simple tools to do the math related to them so you can get in on the action too! If you would like to learn more about these tools, or if you would like to contribute ideas to develop for this blog, please e-mail us at:

ironman at politicalcalculations.com

Thanks in advance!

Recent Posts

Indices, Futures, and Bonds

Closing values for previous trading day.

Most Popular Posts
Quick Index

Site Data

This site is primarily powered by:

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?

CSS Validation

Valid CSS!

RSS Site Feed

AddThis Feed Button

JavaScript

The tools on this site are built using JavaScript. If you would like to learn more, one of the best free resources on the web is available at W3Schools.com.

Other Cool Resources

Blog Roll

Market Links

Useful Election Data
Charities We Support
Shopping Guides
Recommended Reading
Recently Shopped

Seeking Alpha Certified

Archives
Legal Disclaimer

Materials on this website are published by Political Calculations to provide visitors with free information and insights regarding the incentives created by the laws and policies described. However, this website is not designed for the purpose of providing legal, medical or financial advice to individuals. Visitors should not rely upon information on this website as a substitute for personal legal, medical or financial advice. While we make every effort to provide accurate website information, laws can change and inaccuracies happen despite our best efforts. If you have an individual problem, you should seek advice from a licensed professional in your state, i.e., by a competent authority with specialized knowledge who can apply it to the particular circumstances of your case.