Unexpectedly Intriguing!
05 November 2024
Dividends by Nick Youngson on PicPedia - https://picpedia.org/clipboard/dividends.html

October 2024 proved to be a net negative month for the dividend paying firms of the U.S. stock market.

Although we've seen the positive development of eleven fewer firms announcing they will either cut or suspend their dividends when compared with the same month a year earlier, this improvement in unfavorable dividend actions has coincided with the negative development of 29 fewer firms declaring they will increase their dividends.

That's the difference that leads us to describe October 2024 as a negative month for dividend paying firms. The single number that describes the month is -18, which is based on 11 fewer firms announcing dividend decreases paired with 29 fewer firms declaring they will increase their cash dividend payouts.

All the month's favorable and unfavorable changes are tallied up in the following table.

Dividend Changes in October 2024
   Oct-2024  Sep-2024    MoM  Oct-2023    YoY
Total Declarations 3,806 4,603 -797 3,512 294
Favorable 175 136 39 204 -29
- Increases 135 89 46 137 -2
- Special/Extra 40 47 -7 67 -27
- Resumed 0 0 0 ◀▶ 0 0 ◀▶
Unfavorable 7 9 -2 18 -11
- Decreases 7 9 -2 18 -11
- Omitted/Passed 0 0 0 ◀▶ 0 0 ◀▶

The following chart visualizes the monthly counts of dividend increases and decreases from January 2004 through October 2024.

Number of Public U.S. Firms Increasing or Decreasing their Dividends Each Month, January 2004 - October 2024

With two of the past three months having had a negative number for the net year-over-year change of favorable and unfavorable dividend actions, it looks like we can finally answer the question we asked after reviewing July 2024's dividend numbers of how long the positive trend we noted at that time would last. That trend no longer exists.

References

Standard and Poor. S&P Market Attributes Web File. [Excel Spreadsheet]. Accessed 1 November 2024.

Image credit: Dividends by Nick Youngson on PicPedia. Creative Commons Creative Commons 3 - CC BY-SA 3.0.

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