Now that we've quantified all of the streaks of two-or-more consecutive days in which the S&P 500 was either up or down for every trading day since 3 January 1950, it's time to do something with the results of our deep data dive.
So we've taken the math we generated and built the following tool, in which you only need to enter the duration of a particular streak. We'll calculate the odds of a streak that long occurring, the odds of it being either a winning streak (multiple consecutive up days) or a losing streak (multiple consecutive down days), and also the odds of the streak lasting just one more day!
It all begins below. If you're accessing this tool on a site that republishes our RSS news feed, just click through to our site to access a working version....
So, if a streak in the S&P 500 is underway and you're a speculator, the question is: do you feel lucky?
Well, do you?
Labels: investing, probability, SP 500, stock market, tool
Welcome to the blogosphere's toolchest! Here, unlike other blogs dedicated to analyzing current events, we create easy-to-use, simple tools to do the math related to them so you can get in on the action too! If you would like to learn more about these tools, or if you would like to contribute ideas to develop for this blog, please e-mail us at:
ironman at politicalcalculations
Thanks in advance!
Closing values for previous trading day.
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