Political Calculations
July 05, 2008

Carnival Midway from The Jerk Welcome to the Saturday, July 5, 2008 edition of On the Moneyed Midways! Each week, we find the best posts from the best of the past week's business and money-related blog carnivals and link them all in one place for your weekend edutainment!

It's a major holiday weekend here in the U.S. and we're anxious to get back to all the festive activities! What do you say we just get right to our weekly wrap-up of the best posts of the past week?

No objections? In that case, just keep scrolling down!...

On the Moneyed Midways for July 5, 2008
Carnival Post Blog Comments
Carnival of Careers Why Everyone Should Experience a Sales Job The Butler Project Absolutely essential reading! Mark has been interviewing millionaires over the past few months and finds a surprising similarity in their backgrounds.
Carnival of Debt Reduction And When I Am Bad, I Am Very, Very Bad The Pennywise Librarians K tries to follow strict financial discipline most of the time, but sometimes can't resist the urge to splurge.
Carnival of Personal Finance The Surprising Costs of DIY SavingAdvice Cortni Marrazzo finds the sources of hidden costs for those do-it-yourself projects around the house!
Carnival of Real Estate Laura Richardson, Julia Boseman, and Shirley Huntley - Representatives of Financial Irresponsibility? The Baglady Two members of the U.S. House of Representatives and one New York state senator. Three individuals with phenomenally bad judgment regarding handling their own finances and all with influence over legislation affecting how financial institutions are regulated. How bad could that be?
Cavalcade of Risk How Too Many Legal Contracts Are Costing Business Trust Matters Charles H. Green observes fine print creeping into transactions at every level and considers the costs that these mini-contracts are imposing on society. The Best Post of the Week, Anywhere!
Festival of Frugality Save Money, Get a Divorce! Blueprint for Financial Prosperity Jim delivers a tongue-in-cheek view of the things that government does that promote divorce. Absolutely essential reading!
Festival of Stocks How Low Can Gannett Go? MagicDiligence What's wrong with newspapers today? Steve lays out the case against investing in Gannett (GCI), but we'll observe that the same logic applies to the New York Times (NYT), McClatchy (MNI), and Journal Register (JRC) to name just three more troubled news media companies.
Money Hacks Carnival Four Things Working at Starbucks Taught Me Money Under 30 David Weliver learned a lot more than how to sling lattes and bag beans in his time at Starbucks - his short list underscores Mark's point about why everyone should learn sales in this week's contribution for the Carnival of Careers!

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Recession Probability Track - 21 June 2005 to 19 June 2009

Political Calculations' Recession Probability Track shows the probability that the U.S. economy will be in recession 12 months from the indicated date (shown in red) while revealing the probability trend over the past four years.

Previously, the probability of recession peaked at 50% on 4 April 2007, which means that March-April 2008 was the most likely period in which the NBER would have found the U.S. to be in recession.

As it happens, they almost did. The NBER instead chose December 2007 as the beginning month of the most recent recession (we had found a 46% probability for a recession beginning in that month!)

On the Moneyed Midways

Political Calculations is also the online home of On the Moneyed Midways (aka OMM), a review of the best posts contributed to the week's best business and money-related blog carnivals. More than that, we also name one post in each edition as being The Best Post of the Week, Anywhere! and at the end of each year, we name The Best Post of the Year, Anywhere! as well as identifying the best blogs we found during the course of the year!

The link below will take you to the running index containing our most recent back issues (you can easily navigate the index to find older editions.)

OMM's Running Index for 2008

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On the Moneyed Midways - June 28, 2008

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