On 20 August 2015, the period of order that had existed in the U.S. stock market since 4 August 2011 broke down. Statistically speaking that is!
Of course, that outcome should come as no surprise to our readers. Speaking of which, the animated image below compares our forecast chart that we previously featured back on 3 August 2015 and again on 10 August 2015 with what the most recent version of the chart looks like today.
Stock prices are, after all, just a simple quantum kinematics problem, where all you have to know to anticipate where they're going is approximately how far forward in time that investors are looking, their future expectations for dividends at that future point of time, where stock prices were previously, and the typical volatility for daily stock prices!...
Doing all that is, as we like to say, complex, but not difficult. Especially with nearly optimal conditions for this kind of forecasting.
Labels: chaos, forecasting, SP 500
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Closing values for previous trading day.
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