Unexpectedly Intriguing!
01 February 2011

Assuming typical levels of noise in the markets, and in the 1 in 5 chance that a short-term correction that may be waiting in the wings will stay there, we can expect the average of the daily closing values for the S&P 500 to fall into a range between 1289 and 1321 during February 2011.

Our first chart shows why we think so:

Accelerations of S&P 500 Average Monthly Index Value and Trailing Year Dividends per Share (and Futures) as of 1 February 2011

Our second chart shows our track record for predicting where the S&P 500 will go a month ahead of time:

S&P 500 Average Monthly Index Value with Forecasting Track Record, January 2009 to Present

We'll leave it as an exercise to our investing-oriented readers to work out what our up-or-down call accuracy might be.

Labels: , , ,

About Political Calculations

Welcome to the blogosphere's toolchest! Here, unlike other blogs dedicated to analyzing current events, we create easy-to-use, simple tools to do the math related to them so you can get in on the action too! If you would like to learn more about these tools, or if you would like to contribute ideas to develop for this blog, please e-mail us at:

ironman at politicalcalculations

Thanks in advance!

Recent Posts

Indices, Futures, and Bonds

Closing values for previous trading day.

Most Popular Posts
Quick Index

Site Data

This site is primarily powered by:

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?

CSS Validation

Valid CSS!

RSS Site Feed

AddThis Feed Button

JavaScript

The tools on this site are built using JavaScript. If you would like to learn more, one of the best free resources on the web is available at W3Schools.com.

Other Cool Resources

Blog Roll

Market Links

Useful Election Data
Charities We Support
Shopping Guides
Recommended Reading
Recently Shopped

Seeking Alpha Certified

Archives