Unexpectedly Intriguing!
December 11, 2015

It's time for a change of pace this week, and what better way to change the pace of things this week than to feature the death-metal band Macabre's cover of "The Cat Came Back"!

Why does the cat keep coming back? Perhaps the cat is the equivalent to a super creepy cyber stalker, which occurs to us because of some really unusual and ongoing site traffic we've noted.

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt - 2015-12-10

21 visits, and it seems that they still haven't found what they're looking for.

What are they really looking for? Here's a clue from our log of their earliest visits (note the host name and IP address in the image below, since their visits are mixed with others from the same city):

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt 2015-07-18

Our working theory is that a combination of guilt and paranoia is driving the unusual activity, which frequently features searches of our site for "chìnn" and "alec". We're considering inventing a guest contributor by the name of, you guessed it, "Alec Chìnn" just so they can actually find the imaginary pot of gold at the end of their own personal rainbow.


Update 19 January 2016: The cat came back again!...

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt - 2016-01-14

And here we had thought he was a goner!

Update 17 February 2016: But the cat came back!...

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt - 2016-02-14

He just couldn't stay away. And what a way to spend so much of Valentine's Day!

Update 20 March 2016: Once again, the cat comes back, but since Valentine's Day, the cat keeps coming back more frequently....

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-02-18 thru 2016-03-19

Does "super creepy cyber stalker" really cover the bizarreness of it all?

Update 31 March 2016: The cat is a nocturnal creature. The timestamps listed below are Pacific Daylight Time, which is two hours behind the cat's home residence of Madison, Wisconsin.

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-03-30

Judging by what they've read, they completely missed the cake we left out for them, since Blogger's calendar archive only captures the latter portion of the month. Which is a shame because they've given themselves away - we now know who they are. We'll have to serve them some after the next time they visit....

Update: 7 April 2016: We didn't have long to wait.

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-04-07 - Part 1

So we served them some over at their place.

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-04-07 - Part 2

And yes. Everybody knows.

Update 8 April 2016: Another late night! Where does the time go?

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-04-07 - Part 3

Update 9 April 2016: Oh, this is classic - the cat went around the clock! We'll apologize in advance for duplicating some of our site traffic log, but to really appreciate the sheer time investment involved, we really do need to show the last two days!...

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-04-07 thru 2016-04-08

They must not have liked the cake. They seem... quite agitated.

Update 16 April 2016: Not to mention both obsessive and paranoid.

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-04-10 thru 2016-04-14

Although it looks like it, there may not really be such a gap in between the cat's visits. On the days in between 10 April 2016 and 14 April 2016, we noticed a number of visits from a new visitor originating from the same city, which we suspect is the cat "monitoring" our site using their employer's resources, which we base upon a common pattern that we've seen in their site visit activities as documented above. Unfortunately, that's not yet enough for us to confirm that it is the cat. If so, unless they get much smarter in a hurry, which is pretty unlikely based on all that we've seen to date, we have no doubts that their paranoid obsessions will give themselves away once again.

So we're not going to share those particular site traffic excerpts until we have confirmed their identity. In the meantime, we'll be playing the role of Eisenhower to their Eugene McCarthy, which is perhaps the best analogy for describing the behavior of the cat.

Update 8 June 2016: Today's update from our historic site traffic below overlaps some of the traffic we've previously shared for April 2016, but fills in a portion of the cat's visits that we had previously omitted.

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-04-09 thru 2016-06-06

The cat seems quite obsessive, even though we've made a point of not provoking them for over two months. Alas, we may have just posted something that could send them over the edge, given how sensitive they are to even mild criticism. Then again, they now have bigger problems than just being super creepy.

Update 16 June 2016:

Let's pick up the action from 6 June 2016, slightly overlapping what we last covered to make sure we haven't missed anything!

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-06-06 thru 2016-06-15

We can confirm that we succeeded in setting the cat off on a new frenzy of activity. In case you're wondering, the post that we designed to send them into conniptions is the one they saw first when they visited our site on 8 June 2016 at 6:18 PM Central Daylight Time (their time, or as our traffic log shows, on 8 June 2016 at 16:18 PM PDT), which they specifically visited again on 16 June 2016 at 12:43 AM Central Daylight Time (or 15 June 2016 at 22:43 PM PDT, as shown in our traffic log above).

Could the cat be having trouble sleeping? You be the judge if we're responsible for affecting their emotional state.

By posting what we did, we made them desperate, once again, to cover up their deep shortcomings as an economic analyst. By posting when we did, we made them stew for nearly an entire week until certain new economic data, including significant revisions, was posted on 14 June 2016 at 7:30 AM Central Daylight Time (8:30 AM EDT).

The frenzy of activity was then unleashed on 14 June 2016, when beginning as early as 8:30 AM Central Daylight Time, the cat was compelled to spend the next 7-8 hours of their life feverishly trying to make the crackpot argument that every economic disappointment in the state of Kansas since January 2011 was the fault of tax cut policies implemented by its governor. Never mind the impact that the state's severe drought had on its large agriculture industry, the microrecession that impacted in the state's general aviation industry when President Obama's promised national economic recovery failed to materialize, or a massive cut in defense spending that occurred in the state that was later amplified by the defense spending cuts proposed by President Obama through the budget sequester, just to name a few.

That doesn't mean that Kansas' governor is off the hook. The combination of tax cuts and failure to restrain the growth of state government spending in the state more in the face of the deep non-policy related economic blows it was taking created a fiscal problem for the state's government, which wasn't helped by the federal government cutting $794 million worth of its annual spending in the state during the period spanning 2011 through 2014. By contrast, state and local government spending in Kansas was largely flat from 2010 through 2014.

We're going to go out on a limb now and make a prediction - the cat is going to spend a great deal of time, once again, putting together a new attack attempting to refute the reality that the severest portion of the multi-year drought that Kansas experienced in the years from 2011 through mid-2014 had a disproportionate impact on the state's economic output. They'll be using the BEA's newly revised data for the state when they do to make their case, and will pretend that their previous attempt never happened.

Sadly for them, we've already updated our analysis and can demonstrate otherwise, and what's more, we can now confirm that the drought has had a lingering effect on the state's agricultural output even beyond the end of the drought, particularly because of how it impacted the state's livestock industry, which the BEA's newly revised data helps clarify.

That is the other reason why we were so keen on the timing for our post - we wanted to be sure we used the same data that they did in that earlier failed analysis, where the cat pretty much threw a whole lot of junk science from their cookbook against us. Which we'll be periodically revisiting at our leisurely convenience, so they can finally realize the true purpose of their life of serving as a cautionary warning to others....

Unlike the cat, we're happy to be wrong - we don't have our ego so tied up in the analysis we do that we cannot emotionally bear being legitimately corrected. We're not going out of our way to bake data or to cook our analysis to ensure that we arrive at predetermined results - what we do involves real analysis and the application of sound scientific principles, so if we ever are wrong, we don't need to take anything personally - we can simply focus on getting better at what we do. The cat should really learn from our example.

Now, if the cat would just stop being so super creepy!....

Update 16 July 2016: The cat just can't stop being so super creepy!

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-06-16 thru 2016-06-28

We haven't seen any traffic from the cat's Madison, Wisconsin IP address since 28 June 2016, but we strongly suspect they are traveling abroad. To find out for sure, we poked the cat and got yet another frenzied response that culminated in what we would characterize from our layman's perspective as a particularly profound case of psychological projection. Better still, it would seem our prediction from 16 June 2016 has come true....

Here's a sampling of the traffic that we're now seeing from abroad. Note the level of obsession in the following screen shot of our site traffic, which is what first alerted us to the cat's travels, where they are continually monitoring one particular post that would be of very little interest to anyone in the nation they're accessing our site from.

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-06-27 thru 2016-07-06

They appear to be traveling about, which is likely why we're seeing their activity being processed through different ISPs.

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-07-10 - Frankfurt, Germany

Filling in some of the days in between - note the continuing obsession:

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-07-10 - Landsberg, Germany

They also appear to be using the resources of the European Central Bank to facilitate their stalking-like activities. There are some really misguided priorities going on here!

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-07-14 - European Central Bank

Do you think they realize that the fact that we appear to have the ability to drive their frenzies to this extent means that we've rather completely pwned them? What's even more fun is that they've doubled down on their particular brand of junk science, so they've given us even more material to work with!

Update 9 August 2016: We did some additional digging in our site traffic logs to fill in some of the gaps in what we've previously captured. We apologize (again) for any duplication from visits we previously documented.

But hey, at least the first 31 site visits made by the cat to our site between 23 July 2016 and 6 August 2016 are brand new!

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-07-10 through 2016-08-06

As are the 13 visits over 3 hours on 2 August 2016, which brings their total number of visits to our site just for that day up to 20....

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-07-10 through 2016-08-06

Finally, let's close out their trip to Germany by reviewing all the times they used the resources of the European Central Bank to conduct their stalking-like activities. The first three visits are ones we previously documented.

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-07-14 through 2016-08-03 - European Central Bank

In case you're counting, they stalked our site 15 times on 3 August 2016. So, on just a two day long period, they visited our site 35 times, spanning nearly 10 hours periods on both days. Outside of updates, which we don't do often, we typically post once each day that the U.S. stock market is open. That is one very, very obsessed cat!

Alas, their trip to Germany appears to have come to an end. They have once again returned to their home in Madison, Wisconsin.

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-08-09 - Return to Madison, WI

This time, our only prediction is that their creepy stalker-like behavior will not end.

But then, if it weren't for their super creepy stalker-like behavior, we wouldn't have considered it worthwhile to take them on!

Update 10 August 2016:

Sigh. This time, they made 6 visits to just 2 pages over nearly 11 hours.

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-08-10 - 6 visits to just 2 pages over nearly 11 hours

The sad part? It was all just to produce this half-assed "analysis". The even more sad part, if you scroll up, you can see that they are very clearly ignoring a post that they specifically clicked to review very late at night on 15 June 2016 that rather definitively contradicts their claims, which means that they've just managed to tick another category off on the junk science checklist.

The really amazing part? Check out all the time they spent visiting our site over the last month just to produce that effort! How many page visits over how many hours over how many days? And that's the best analysis a Harvard-educated PhD economist can produce after such a time commitment? Wow!

Update 12 August 2016:

We're trying something new. Taking advantage of the comments at Env-Econ, which linked to that crap analysis we previously mentioned, we realized it would be catnip to the cat. So we dropped a couple of comments at the post (sorry John!), where we hope to achieve some much needed behavioral modification on the part of the cat.

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-08-10 through 2016-08-12

Will calling out their persistent stalking-like activities curtail their bad behavior? We'll find out....

Update 1 September 2016:

The end of August 2016 has arrived, and we have to say the success of our behavioral modification experiment would appear to be mixed.

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-08-13 through 2016-08-29

Compared to what the cat's previous manic activity level, we've clearly achieved a reduction in their more-than-one-year-long-ongoing-creepy behavior. But then, 23 August 2016 rolled around and we find that they're still quite obsessed.

Flash forward to 29 August 2016, and we find that they're quite interested in our fourth example of junk science, where so far, 75% of the content hasn't involved their own pseudoscientific practices in any way. Shame they didn't learn sooner, because that particular lesson is one they'll soon find quite relevant.

Update 7 September 2016: With the cat having resumed their stalking activities again, we've opted to attempt another intervention for them to address their creepy behavior. We've given them some required reading assignments, through the magic of URL redirects.

Political Calculations Site Traffic Excerpt for Super Creepy Cyber Stalker - 2016-09-05 through 2016-09-06

There is a link in the second assignment to some additional material that they need to read before we will consider allowing them to progress further in their required reading assignments.



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