Unexpectedly Intriguing!
10 March 2022

With over 95% of the earnings data for the fourth quarter of 2021 now reported, we thought it might be a good time to visualize the historic yields for the S&P 500 (Index: SPX). The following chart presents the trailing year earnings and dividend yields for the index over the past 150 years, from January 1871 through December 2021.

Historic Yields for the S&P 500, January 1871 through December 2021

For December 2021, we find the earnings yield for the S&P 500 is 4.70%, which places it within the middle of the range it has fallen during the past thirty years. The index' dividend yield however is 1.46%, which comes within a few tenths of a percent from its all-time low recorded at the peak of the Dot-Com Bubble in August 2000.

At this point in 2022, both measures of the relative valuation of the S&P 500 have risen as the value of the index has fallen throughout the year to date.

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