Unexpectedly Intriguing!
19 May 2016

Last year, on 20 August 2015, a four year long period of order in the U.S. stock market came to a crashing end.

S&P 500 vs Trailing Year Dividends per Share, 30 June 2011 to 20 August 2015, with Period of Order lasting beginning on 4 August 2011 and ending on 20 August 2015

What has happened since then?

After the initial shock, which ended on 26 August 2015, order briefly returned to the S&P 500, but only through the end of 2015.

S&P 500 vs Trailing Year Dividends per Share, 30 June 2015 to 18 May 2016, with Period of Order lasting beginning on 26 August 2015 and ending on 31 December 2015

As yet, not enough time has passed to determine whether order has returned to the U.S. stock market following the disruptive noise event of January-February 2016. But if you're the type who needs something to worry about, compare the path that stock prices followed in the period from 30 June 2015 through 17 August 2015 to the path that stock prices have taken from 31 December 2015 through 18 May 2016.

So what do you think comes next?

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