Political Calculations
September 28, 2007

Carnival Midway from The Jerk Welcome to the Friday, September 28, 2007 edition of On the Moneyed Midways, the blogosphere's only collection of the top posts from this week's best business, economics, investing, personal finance, real estate and otherwise-somehow-related-to-money blog carnivals!

We're tipping our hats to The Super Saver of My Wealth Builder this week. Not only did The Super Saver do a great job in hosting the Festival of Stocks, which focused purely on whether investors should buy, sell or hold stock in Apple this past week, The Super Saver also contributed the best money-saving tip of the week in, of all places, the Cavalcade of Risk!

And while both of these are good posts, they're not the best from the week that was! For those, keep scrolling down....

On the Moneyed Midways for September 28, 2007
Carnival Post Blog Comments
Carnival of Money Stories My Ongoing Battle with the Cash in My Pocket The Simple Dollar Economists have argued over what the "optimal" amount of cash is for individuals to carry around, but somehow, they never really consider the factors that Trent contends with that say the "optimal" amount is zero. Absolutely essential reading!
Carnival of Personal Finance Understanding Indexed Annuities Art Dinkin's Moment on Money What are indexed annuities and do they make sense for your investing portfolio? Art Dinkin provides an excellent tutorial into these stock market linked investment vehicles.
Carnival of Real Estate How to Sell a House in Over 6 Months Live.Awake It takes work on the part of a homeowner to draw the selling process out over more than half a year - Ben Cotton offers up a humorous take on the things you can do to really drag it out without simply setting the price too high!
Carnival of the Capitalists The Cancer of Short-Term Thinking Trusted Advisor Charles H. Green once again provides Absolutely essential reading! with a post that spotlights the problems with pursuing corporate goals in the short term at the expense of destroying trust and business performance in the long term.
Cavalcade of Risk Insurance Update Saves Money My Wealth Builder If you're reducing the amount of miles you're driving, as the Super Saver is doing, you might be able to also reduce your insurance premiums.
Consumer Focused Real Estate How Buyers can Walk in the Shoes of Sellers and Listing Agents Silicon Valley Real Estate Blog Steve Leung delivers The Best Post of the Week, Anywhere! discussing what a prospective buyer working with an agent can do in setting their offer price. While focused on real estate, the lessons of negotiation carry well beyond the buying and selling of houses.
Festival of Frugality When Frugality Becomes a Dirty Stinkin' Excuse A Penny Closer Is there a difference between being frugal and being lazy? Melissa finds her quality of life declines as a result of using frugality as an excuse to put essential tasks off to "save" money.
Festival of Stocks Festival of Stocks #55 - Apple, Inc. Edition: Buy, Sell or Hold? My Wealth Builder The Super Saver hosts a special themed-edition of the Festival of Stocks gathering the financial blogosphere's best arguments for buying, selling or holding stock in Apple Computer (AAPL).
Odysseus Medal (Real Estate) Believe It or Not, the 'Optimal' Mortgage is an Option ARM Hot Property BusinessWeek's Peter Coy reports on a study into the world of fully rational and self-interested borrowers, which finds that an adjustable rate mortgage that allows negative amortization and that has high prepayment penalties is the optimal choice.

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Political Calculations' Recession Probability Track shows the probability that the U.S. economy will be in recession 12 months from the indicated date (shown in red) while revealing the probability trend over the past four years.

Previously, the probability of recession peaked at 50% on 4 April 2007, which means that March-April 2008 was the most likely period in which the NBER would have found the U.S. to be in recession.

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Political Calculations is also the online home of On the Moneyed Midways (aka OMM), a review of the best posts contributed to the week's best business and money-related blog carnivals. More than that, we also name one post in each edition as being The Best Post of the Week, Anywhere! and at the end of each year, we name The Best Post of the Year, Anywhere! as well as identifying the best blogs we found during the course of the year!

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