Unexpectedly Intriguing!
20 March 2020

We've had a very fast moving month as the coronavirus pandemic has dominated much of our regular activity as we've nearly doubled our analytical output. In case you've missed any of it, here's a recap of several of our more unique contributions:

### Tools

What Is Your Risk Of Exposure to Coronavirus In A Public Outing?

This is easily the most popular tool we've developed related to the coronavirus outbreak, where if you know how many people live in your town and how many have been confirmed carriers of the virus, you can estimate how at risk you are of coming into contact with someone who is infected if you go out to a public venue.

How Fast Could China's Coronavirus Spread?

Using the Diamond Princess cruise ship as a model, we built a tool that can project how long it would have taken all passengers and crew to become infected if they been kept on board in that ideal environment for spreading the coronavirus.

Estimating Economic Impacts From a Disaster Shock

How big a bite has China's coronavirus epidemic taken out of its national economy? We develop back-of-the-envelope math into a tool you can use to answer that question and apply to any nation's economy.

Atmospheric CO2 and the Coronavirus

Now that the coronavirus epidemic that originated in China has become a pandemic, we have a unique alternative economic indicator that might tell us how much the global economy has been affected by the coronavirus.

What If There Was a Vaccine for African Swine Fever?

This tool deals with African Swine Fever instead of the coronavirus sweeping across the world today, but the math behind it certainly applies for determining what percentage of a population would need to be vaccinated to protect the entire population against infection, if only a vaccine for the condition existed. For African Swine Fever, researchers appear to be close to having an effective vaccine to fight the disease, which has caused the deaths of at least 40% of China's domestic swine herd to date.

### Data Visualization

Introducing Skyline Charts for Tracking Coronavirus Cases in the U.S.

What would happen if we group several charts like the "Tower of Hong Kong" infographic to track the daily progression of the coronavirus in several regions together? Well, when you group a bunch of towers together, you get a skyline featuring a wealth of detailed information, and that's what we introduced to the world of coronavirus data visualization.

COVID-19 Coronavirus Cases in the U.S.

We created a simple set of bar charts for tracking the number of confirmed cases, recovered patients, and deaths from the coronavirus pandemic in individual U.S. states. We update this chart daily.

The Tower of Hong Kong and Visualizing Coronavirus Case Data

We were impressed by the visualizations put together by the infographic wizards at the South China Morning Post, which directly inspired us to create the skyline charts we just rolled out.

### Stock Market Impact

We've developed one of the most advanced models for explaining why the S&P 500 behaves as it does and we've gone from providing weekly to daily updates describing what the market has been doing over the last several weeks and anticipating what it would do next. All are contained in the following articles, presented in chronological order:

There's more we've done, but these are the coronavirus-related highlights. We'd like to close this recap by saying thank you to our regular readers, and welcome to those of you who have discovered some of what we do in the last several weeks!

Image credit: Martin Sanchez

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Welcome to the blogosphere's toolchest! Here, unlike other blogs dedicated to analyzing current events, we create easy-to-use, simple tools to do the math related to them so you can get in on the action too! If you would like to learn more about these tools, or if you would like to contribute ideas to develop for this blog, please e-mail us at:

ironman at politicalcalculations.com

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